What a disaster for the governing coalition: after the state elections in Bavaria and Hesse, it achieved its weakest result since the election to the Bundestag in September 2021, according to the “Deutschlandtrend” of ARD’s “Morgenmagazin”. According to the Infratest dimap poll, the SPD, the Greens and the FDP have the support of just one-third of voters. The AfD can claim the exact opposite trend: At 23 percent, it has a higher score than ever before in the “Deutschlandtrend. According to the survey, almost one in four voters would opt for the party.
This result shows how the constant defamation of the party and its slander as right-wing extremist have exactly the opposite effect of what the media and politics want to achieve. Exclusion drives votes to the AfD instead of taking them away.
In response to the classic Sunday question – “What would you vote for if there were a general election next Sunday?” 29 percent of respondents said they would vote for the CDU or CSU. An increase of one percentage point compared to the previous week. The chancellor’s party, on the other hand, achieved one percentage point less, with just 15 percent. The Greens and the FDP also lost one percentage point, coming in at 13 and five percent respectively. The Liberals would thus be threatened with yet another exit from the Bundestag and sinking into insignificance.
The survey once again proved SPD leader Saskia Esken wrong. As recently as last Sunday’s election evening, she doubted on Anne Will on ARD that migration was the defining issue for voters. However, this is exactly what the new survey proves. According to the survey, 44 percent consider immigration to be the most important political problem that politicians should address as a matter of priority. The topic of “armed conflicts/peace/foreign policy” landed in second place with 18 percent. The topics of pensions/retirement provision (13 percent), the economy (eleven percent) and inflation and taxes (ten percent in each case) follow far behind.
The SPD’s and the Greens’ loss of reality is particularly dramatic when it comes to their favorite issues: at one percent, just one in a hundred considers environmental protection and climate change to be a priority; the classic SPD issue of wages and social injustice is also only given priority by three percent. In the past, these issues had a much higher priority for people.
According to the survey, the “Freie Wähler” (Free Voters) and the “Die Linke” (The Left) both came in at four percent. What is a bitter decline for the former SED is a significant rise for the “Free Voters”. It should give them hope of scraping the five percent hurdle.
The survey shows that a clear majority in Germany would like to see a change in policy away from the current red-green course. Against this backdrop, speculation that Chancellor Olaf Scholz (SPD), who is in the dock, is toying with a change of coalition partners is also interesting. And he wants to get the CDU/CSU on board instead of the Greens and FDP. To secure power for Scholz, this could make sense. But whether his party, which is much more left-wing than he, will play along is more than questionable. And Friedrich Merz would also be in a tight spot if he were to get involved with Scholz as vice chancellor. For he would thus join him on a sinking boat.
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SPD leader Esken after election disaster on Anne Will: terminal loss of reality. AfD must stay outside
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